Popular Libraries
Scikit-Learn
Create Subscriptions
In the Initialize
initialize
method, subscribe to some data so you can train the sklearn
model and make predictions.
# Subscribe to security data and store symbol for referencing in the algorithm. self._symbol = self.add_equity("SPY", Resolution.DAILY).symbol
Build Models
In this example, build a support vector regression prediction model that uses the following features and labels:
Data Category | Description |
---|---|
Features | Daily percent change of the open, high, low, close, and volume of the SPY over the last 5 days |
Labels | Daily percent return of the SPY over the next day |
The following image shows the time difference between the features and labels:
To build the model, call the GridSearchCV
constructor with the SVR model, the parameter grid, a scoring method, the number of cross-validation folds:
# Define a grid of hyperparameters to search over and perform cross-validation. aram_grid = {'C': [.05, .1, .5, 1, 5, 10], 'epsilon': [0.001, 0.005, 0.01, 0.05, 0.1], 'gamma': ['auto', 'scale']} self.model = GridSearchCV(SVR(), param_grid, scoring='neg_mean_squared_error', cv=5)
Train Models
You can train the model at the beginning of your algorithm and you can periodically re-train it as the algorithm executes.
Warm Up Training Data
You need historical data to initially train the model at the start of your algorithm. To get the initial training data, in the Initialize
initialize
method, make a history request.
# Initialize training data with a rolling window of size 252*2 days. training_length = 252*2 self.training_data = RollingWindow[TradeBar](training_length) history = self.history[TradeBar](self._symbol, training_length, Resolution.DAILY) for trade_bar in history: self.training_data.add(trade_bar)
Define a Training Method
To train the model, define a method that fits the model with the training data.
# Prepare feature and label data for training by processing rolling window data to create time-series sequences for model training. def get_features_and_labels(self, n_steps=5): training_df = self.pandas_converter.get_data_frame[TradeBar](list(self.training_data)[::-1]) daily_pct_change = training_df.pct_change().dropna() features = [] labels = [] for i in range(len(daily_pct_change)-n_steps): features.append(daily_pct_change.iloc[i:i+n_steps].values.flatten()) labels.append(daily_pct_change['close'].iloc[i+n_steps]) features = np.array(features) labels = np.array(labels) return features, labels def my_training_method(self): features, labels = self.get_features_and_labels() self.model = self.model.fit(features, labels).best_estimator_
Set Training Schedule
To train the model at the beginning of your algorithm, in the Initialize
initialize
method, call the Train
train
method.
# Train the model initially to provide a baseline for prediction and decision-making. self.train(self.my_training_method)
To periodically re-train the model as your algorithm executes, in the Initialize
initialize
method, call the Train
train
method as a Scheduled Event.
# Train the model every Sunday at 8:00 AM self.train(self.date_rules.every(DayOfWeek.SUNDAY), self.time_rules.at(8, 0), self.my_training_method)
Update Training Data
To update the training data as the algorithm executes, in the OnData
on_data
method, add the current TradeBar
to the RollingWindow
that holds the training data.
# Add the latest bar to training data to ensure the model is trained with the most recent market data. def on_data(self, slice: Slice) -> None: if self._symbol in slice.bars: self.training_data.add(slice.bars[self._symbol])
Predict Labels
To predict the labels of new data, in the OnData
on_data
method, get the most recent set of features and then call the predict
method.
# Generate feature set and predict with the latest data for current market decisions. features, _ = self.get_features_and_labels() prediction = self.model.predict(features[-1].reshape(1, -1)) prediction = float(prediction)
You can use the label prediction to place orders.
# Use label prediction to place orders based on forecasted market direction. if prediction > 0: self.SetHoldings(self._symbol, 1) elif prediction < 0: self.SetHoldings(self._symbol, -1)
Save Models
Follow these steps to save sklearn
models into the Object Store:
- Set the key name you want to store the model under in the Object Store.
- Call the
GetFilePath
get_file_path
method with the key. - Call the
dump
method the file path.
# Set the key to store the model in Object Store for reuse across sessions. model_key = "model"
# Get the file path to correctly save and access the model in Object Store. file_name = self.object_store.get_file_path(model_key)
This method returns the file path where the model will be stored.
# Serialize Python objects into a file to save the model's state for other runs. joblib.dump(self.model, file_name)
If you dump the model using the joblib
module before you save the model, you don't need to retrain the model.
Load Models
You can load and trade with pre-trained sklearn
models that you saved in the Object Store. To load a sklearn
model from the Object Store, in the Initialize
initialize
method, get the file path to the saved model and then call the load
method.
# Load the sklearn model from Object Store to use its saved state and update with new data if needed. def initialize(self) -> None: if self.object_store.contains_key(model_key): file_name = self.object_store.get_file_path(model_key) self.model = joblib.load(file_name)
The ContainsKey
contains_key
method returns a boolean that represents if the model_key
is in the Object Store. If the Object Store does not contain the model_key
, save the model using the model_key
before you proceed.