Overall Statistics |
Total Trades 16 Average Win 0.13% Average Loss -0.05% Compounding Annual Return 4.905% Drawdown 2.600% Expectancy 0.732 Net Profit 4.288% Sharpe Ratio 1.34 Loss Rate 50% Win Rate 50% Profit-Loss Ratio 2.46 Alpha 0.041 Beta -0.012 Annual Standard Deviation 0.029 Annual Variance 0.001 Information Ratio -0.709 Tracking Error 0.105 Treynor Ratio -3.344 Total Fees $18.91 |
from datetime import datetime from clr import AddReference AddReference("System") AddReference("QuantConnect.Algorithm") AddReference("QuantConnect.Indicators") AddReference("QuantConnect.Common") from System import * from QuantConnect import * from QuantConnect.Algorithm import * from QuantConnect.Indicators import * from sklearn import linear_model import numpy as np from scipy import stats class PairsTradingAlgorithm(QCAlgorithm): def Initialize(self): '''Initialise the data and resolution required, as well as the cash and start-end dates for your algorithm. All algorithms must initialized.''' self.SetStartDate(2014,1,5) self.SetEndDate(2014,11,20) self.SetCash(100000) self.numdays = 120 # set the length of training period self.ticker = ["XLK","QQQ"] self.syl = [] self.threshold = 2 self.coef = None self.mean, self.std = None, None for i in self.ticker: equity = self.AddSecurity(SecurityType.Equity, i, Resolution.Minute) self.syl.append(equity.Symbol) self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.Every(DayOfWeek.Monday, DayOfWeek.Monday),self.TimeRules.At(10, 0), Action(self._set_signal)) #self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.syl[0]), self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.syl[0],30), Action(self._set_signal)) #self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.syl[1]), self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.syl[1],30), Action(self._set_signal)) #self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.EveryDay(self.syl[0]),self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.syl[0],30),Action(self._set_signal)) #self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.EveryDay(self.syl[1]),self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.syl[1],30),Action(self._set_signal)) def _set_signal(self): history = self.History(self.numdays,Nullable[Resolution](Resolution.Daily)) logprice = {} for j in range(len(self.syl)): close = [] for slice in history: bar = slice[self.syl[j]] close.append(bar.Close) logprice[self.ticker[j]] = np.log([float(z) for z in close]) # generate the log return series of stock price # run linear regression over the two history log price series reg = linear_model.LinearRegression() x,y = logprice[self.ticker[0]],logprice[self.ticker[1]] reg.fit([[n] for n in x],y) self.coef = reg.coef_ # reg.intercept_ self.spread = y - self.coef * x #compute the spread series based on regression result self.mean, self.std = np.mean(self.spread),np.std(self.spread) logprice_x = np.log(float(self.Portfolio[self.syl[0]].Price)) logprice_y = np.log(float(self.Portfolio[self.syl[1]].Price)) syl_x, syl_y = self.syl[0],self.syl[1] quantity = float(self.CalculateOrderQuantity(syl_y,0.4)) current_spread = float(logprice_y) - self.coef * float(logprice_x) if self.mean == None or self.std == None: return else: if current_spread > self.mean + self.threshold * self.std: self.Sell(syl_y, 1 * quantity) self.Buy(syl_x, self.coef * quantity) self.Log('Trade I : ' + str(syl_y)+' , '+str(quantity)+' , '+str(syl_x)+' , '+str(self.coef*quantity)) elif current_spread < self.mean - self.threshold * self.std: self.Buy(syl_y, 1 * quantity ) self.Sell(syl_x, self.coef * quantity) self.Log('Trade II : ' + str(syl_y)+' , '+str(quantity)+' , '+str(syl_x)+' , '+str(self.coef*quantity)) if self.Portfolio[self.syl[0]].Quantity != 0 and self.Portfolio[self.syl[1]].Quantity != 0: if current_spread < 0.5 * self.std and current_spread > -0.5 * self.std: self.Liquidate(self.syl[0]) self.Liquidate(self.syl[1])