Overall Statistics |
Total Trades 165 Average Win 0.07% Average Loss -0.18% Compounding Annual Return 219.686% Drawdown 4.300% Expectancy -0.352 Net Profit 5.786% Sharpe Ratio 9.424 Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio 77.087% Loss Rate 53% Win Rate 47% Profit-Loss Ratio 0.39 Alpha 2.588 Beta 0.478 Annual Standard Deviation 0.294 Annual Variance 0.086 Information Ratio 8.098 Tracking Error 0.295 Treynor Ratio 5.798 Total Fees $171.07 |
from datetime import timedelta import numpy as np import pandas as pd class ModelA(AlphaModel): def __init__(self, resolution, insightsTimeDelta ): self.symbolDataBySymbol = {} self.modelResolution = resolution self.insightsTimeDelta = insightsTimeDelta def OnSecuritiesChanged(self, algorithm, changes): for added in changes.AddedSecurities: symbolData = self.symbolDataBySymbol.get(added.Symbol) if symbolData is None: symbolData = SymbolData(added.Symbol, algorithm, self.modelResolution) self.symbolDataBySymbol[added.Symbol] = symbolData def Update(self, algorithm, data): insights=[] for symbol, symbolData in self.symbolDataBySymbol.items(): symbolData.getInsight(algorithm.Securities[symbol].Price) # Latest known price; we are at 12:00 and the last trade at 10.57 algorithm.Log(f"{symbol}\tMOM\t[{symbolData.fmom}]\t{round(symbolData.mom.Current.Value,2)}\tKAMA\t[{symbolData.fkama}]\t{round(symbolData.kama.Current.Value,2)}\ \tPrice\t{symbolData.price}\tROC\t[{symbolData.froc}]\t{round(symbolData.roc.Current.Value,4)}\tEMA\t[{symbolData.fema}]\tEMA-13\t{round(symbolData.ema13.Current.Value,2)}\ \tEMA-63\t{round(symbolData.ema63.Current.Value,2)}\tEMA-150\t{round(symbolData.ema150.Current.Value,2)}\taction\t{symbolData.InsightDirection}") insights.append(Insight(symbol, self.insightsTimeDelta, InsightType.Price, symbolData.InsightDirection, 0.0025,None, "ModelA",None)) return insights class FrameworkAlgorithm(QCAlgorithm): def Initialize(self): #qb = QuantBook() #beta - volatility property tickers = ["MSFT","MRNA","MELI","FSLY"] symbols = [Symbol.Create(x, SecurityType.Equity, Market.USA) for x in tickers] resolution = Resolution.Hour #10-11, etc Daily data is midnight to mifnight, 12AM EST warmup = 28 insightsTimeDelta=timedelta(hours=1) self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.EveryDay(), self.TimeRules.Every(TimeSpan.FromMinutes(60)), self.hourlyHousekeeping) self.SetStartDate(2020, 12, 12) self.SetCash(100000) self.SetBenchmark("SPY") self.UniverseSettings.Resolution = resolution self.SetWarmUp(timedelta(warmup)) self.SetUniverseSelection(ManualUniverseSelectionModel(symbols)) self.SetAlpha(ModelA(resolution,insightsTimeDelta)) self.SetPortfolioConstruction(EqualWeightingPortfolioConstructionModel()) #self.SetPortfolioConstruction(MeanVarianceOptimizationPortfolioConstructionModel(resolution,PortfolioBias.LongShort,1,63,resolution,0.02,MaximumSharpeRatioPortfolioOptimizer(0,1,0))) self.SetRiskManagement(MaximumDrawdownPercentPerSecurity(0.02)) # drop in profit from the max / done daily > redo hourly? self.SetExecution(ImmediateExecutionModel()) def hourlyHousekeeping(self): if self.IsMarketOpen("SPY"): # Fail Safe - If our strategy is losing than acceptable (something is wrong) # Strategy suddenly losing moiney or logic problem/bug we did't carch i testing if self.LiveMode: if self.Portfolio.UnrealizedProfit + self.Portfolio.TotalProfit > 1000: self.Liquidate() self.Quit() if self.Portfolio.Invested: self.Log("\n\nPortfolio at : {0}".format(self.Time)) summary = {} invested = [ x.Symbol.Value for x in self.Portfolio.Values if x.Invested ] for symbol in invested: hold_val = round(self.Portfolio[symbol].HoldingsValue, 2) abs_val = round(self.Portfolio[symbol].AbsoluteHoldingsValue, 2) pnl = round(self.Portfolio[symbol].UnrealizedProfit, 2) qty = self.Portfolio[symbol].Quantity price = self.Portfolio[symbol].Price summary[symbol]=[hold_val,abs_val,pnl,qty,price] df=pd.DataFrame(summary) df.index = ['hold_val', 'abs_val', 'pnl', 'qty','price'] df=df.T hold_val_total= df['hold_val'].sum() df = df.assign(weight=df['hold_val']/hold_val_total) self.Log(df) class SymbolData: def __init__(self, symbol, algorithm, resolution): self.symbol = symbol self.price = 0.00 self.InsightDirection = InsightDirection.Flat self.kama = algorithm.KAMA(symbol, 10,2,30, resolution) self.mom = algorithm.MOM(symbol, 14, resolution) self.roc = algorithm.ROC(symbol, 9, resolution) self.ema13 = algorithm.EMA(symbol, 13, resolution) self.ema63 = algorithm.EMA(symbol, 63, resolution) self.ema150 = algorithm.EMA(symbol, 150, resolution) self.fkama = False self.fmom = False self.froc = False self.fema = False def getInsight(self, price): self.price = price self.fkama = self.price>self.kama.Current.Value self.fmom = self.mom.Current.Value>0 self.froc = self.roc.Current.Value>0 self.fema = self.ema13.Current.Value>self.ema63.Current.Value>self.ema150.Current.Value if self.fmom and self.fkama and self.fema and self.froc: self.InsightDirection= InsightDirection.Up if not self.fmom or not self.fkama or not self.fema or not self.froc: self.InsightDirection = InsightDirection.Down