Overall Statistics |
Total Trades 73 Average Win 6.66% Average Loss -4.86% Compounding Annual Return 13.575% Drawdown 28.400% Expectancy 0.645 Net Profit 165.235% Sharpe Ratio 0.672 Loss Rate 31% Win Rate 69% Profit-Loss Ratio 1.37 Alpha 0.124 Beta -0.03 Annual Standard Deviation 0.179 Annual Variance 0.032 Information Ratio 0.047 Tracking Error 0.227 Treynor Ratio -3.971 Total Fees $1144.76 |
import numpy as np import pandas as pd class BasicTemplateAlgorithm(QCAlgorithm): def __init__(self): self.symbols = ['MDY','IEV','EEM','ILF','EPP','EDV','SHY'] self.back_period = 73 def Initialize(self): self.SetCash(100000) self.SetStartDate(2010,1,1) # self.SetEndDate(2016,2,1) self.spy = self.AddEquity('SPY', Resolution.Daily).Symbol for i in range(len(self.symbols)): symbol = self.AddEquity(self.symbols[i], Resolution.Daily).Symbol self.symbols[i] = symbol self.Schedule.On(self.DateRules.MonthStart(self.spy), self.TimeRules.AfterMarketOpen(self.spy,5), Action(self.rebalance)) def OnData(self, slice): pass # calculate historical return and volatility for each stock def get_history(self): history = self.History(self.back_period, Resolution.Daily) for i in self.symbols: bars = map(lambda x: x[i], history) i.prices = pd.Series([float(x.Close) for x in bars]) vol = np.mean(pd.rolling_std(i.prices, 20)*np.sqrt(self.back_period/20.0)) i.volatility = vol/i.prices[0] i.ret = (i.prices.iloc[-1] - i.prices.iloc[0])/i.prices.iloc[0] # normalise the mesures of returns and volatilities def normalise(self): rets = [x.ret for x in self.symbols] vols = [x.volatility for x in self.symbols] self.ret_max, self.ret_min = max(rets), min(rets) # vol_min is actually the max volatility. min means low score on this. self.vol_min, self.vol_max = max(vols), min(vols) # select the best one with the highest score. def select(self): self.get_history() self.normalise() for i in self.symbols: ret = (i.ret - self.ret_min)/(self.ret_max - self.ret_min) vol = (i.volatility - self.vol_min)/(self.vol_max - self.vol_min) i.score = ret*0.7 + vol*0.3 select = sorted(self.symbols, key = lambda x: x.score, reverse = True) return select[0] def rebalance(self): target = self.select() if self.Portfolio[target].Quantity != 0: return self.Liquidate() self.SetHoldings(target,1)