I've been working on some strategies that I constantly see perform spectacular some days and horrible other days. Over fitting aside, what would cause a strategy 1) functioning outside of it's optimization construct, and 2) that makes frequent long and short trades to: win 90% of the time 100 trades in a row and then lose 90% of the time the next 100 trades. Is there a name for this phenomenon that I could further research?
Also, this might be related, but I'm fostering a strategy that over a period of 90 days @ Minute resolution that makes on average of 30 trades per day, to flat line (consistency breaking even +/- $1k per day) for the first 45 days, then explode during the last 45 days ending with an ending balance 3x the initial balance.
I've been trying to make correlations with some indicators (RSI, MACD, ATR, MA) with varying configurations and just can't seem to put a finger on it.
LukeI
Jared Broad
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Nicholas Stein
JP B
Levitikon
The material on this website is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation to buy, or a recommendation or endorsement for any security or strategy, nor does it constitute an offer to provide investment advisory services by QuantConnect. In addition, the material offers no opinion with respect to the suitability of any security or specific investment. QuantConnect makes no guarantees as to the accuracy or completeness of the views expressed in the website. The views are subject to change, and may have become unreliable for various reasons, including changes in market conditions or economic circumstances. All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. You should consult with an investment professional before making any investment decisions.
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